WhileSolo: A Star Wars Storyhas won the past two weekends in a row at thebox office, it hasn’t exactly done so in convincing fashion. It came in far under expectations over the Memorial Day holiday weekend with $84.4 million ($103 million over the four-day holiday) and it dropped 65.2% in its second frame last weekend. This coming weekend its brief reign will most likely come to an end, with Warner Bros.‘Ocean’s 8, Global Road’sHotel Artemisand A24’sHereditaryhitting theaters in wide release. We’re predicting thatOcean’s 8comes out on top with a projected $31.4 million.
There have been projections that have putOcean’s 8in the $40 million range, but we’re still sticking with our $31.4 million prediction from our summer box office predictions piece last month, for a few different reasons. One, the box office down turn is very real, since even aStar Warsmovie can’t break $100 million over a three-day frame. Even with all of its issues, and behind-the-scenes controversies, it was still expected to break the four-day Memorial Day record of $139.8 million set 11 years ago byPirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, but it came up $36.8 million short with a four-day $103 milion tally.
Some box office prognosticators think thatJurassic World: Fallen Kingdomwill be the next big blockbuster, and many moviegoers are saving their money for either that big-budget sequel, or next weekend’s animated family sequel,The Incredibles 2, which is also expected to fare quite well. Still, when it comes to this weekend, no one will come close toOcean’s 8, and while its $31.4 million projection is significantly lower than projections, it’s still a solid debut for this gender-swapped spin-off of theOcean’s Elevenfranchise. As of now, the only newcomer that has a Rotten Tomatoes rating isHereditarywith 94%, but it shouldn’t be long before the reviews come in forOcean’s 8andHotel Artemis.
We’re predicting the top 10 will be rounded out bySolo: A Star Wars Story($14.7 million),Hotel Artemis($13.8 million),Deadpool 2($12.4 million),Hereditary($9.3 million),Adrift($5.9 million),Avengers: Infinity War($5.2 million),Book Club($3.9 million),Upgrade($2.6 million) andLife of the Party($1.5 million). While no exact theater counts have been given yet,Ocean’s 8is expected to debut in over 4,000 theaters, whileHotel Artemisis expected to arrive in just 2,000 theaters and there is no estimate forHereditaryquite yet. Also arriving in limited release this weekend is Well Go USA’sThe Believer, Gunpowder & Sky’sHearts Beat Loud, Vladar Company’sMiddleground, Magnolia’sThe Quest of Alain Ducasse, Greenwich’sWestwood: Punk, Icon, Activistand Focus Features’Won’t You Be My Neighbor?.
Looking ahead to next weekend, Disney Pixar rolls out its highly-anticipated animated sequelThe Incredibles 2, while Warner Bros. debuts its true story adaptationTagalong with Yash Raj’s Bollywood action sequelRace 3, with Vertical Entertainment’sGotti, Strand’sGabriel and the Mountainand Universal’sLoving Pabloarriving in limited release. Take a look at the box office projections for the weekend of June 8, and check back on Sunday for the top 10 estimates, courtesy ofBox Office Mojo.
Ocean’s 8$31.4 million
Solo: A Star Wars Story$14.7 million
Hotel Artemis$13.8 million
Deadpool 2$12.4 million
Hereditary$9.3 million
Adrift$5.9 million
Avengers: Infinity War$5.2 million
Book Club$3.9 million
Upgrade$2.6 million
Life of the Party$1.5 million
